Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.004320 0.004546 0.004779 0.005035 0.005311 0.005599 0.005923
2024-12-29 0.003855 0.004184 0.004536 0.004943 0.005401 0.005904 0.006500
2025-01-05 0.003562 0.003945 0.004366 0.004868 0.005451 0.006114 0.006929
2025-01-12 0.003388 0.003814 0.004293 0.004878 0.005578 0.006396 0.007436
2025-01-19 0.003142 0.003581 0.004083 0.004707 0.005469 0.006380 0.007569
2025-01-26 0.003034 0.003499 0.004041 0.004727 0.005583 0.006630 0.008034
2025-02-02 0.002996 0.003496 0.004089 0.004854 0.005829 0.007052 0.008736
2025-02-09 0.002871 0.003381 0.003993 0.004794 0.005833 0.007160 0.009029
2025-02-16 0.002781 0.003303 0.003939 0.004782 0.005892 0.007339 0.009421
2025-02-23 0.002689 0.003220 0.003871 0.004748 0.005920 0.007472 0.009754
2025-03-02 0.002643 0.003191 0.003872 0.004800 0.006061 0.007764 0.010324
2025-03-09 0.002570 0.003123 0.003819 0.004777 0.006099 0.007911 0.010691
2025-03-16 0.002490 0.003046 0.003753 0.004737 0.006112 0.008030 0.011030
2025-03-23 0.002396 0.002949 0.003656 0.004651 0.006059 0.008049 0.011219
2025-03-30 0.002315 0.002865 0.003574 0.004582 0.006024 0.008092 0.011444
2025-04-06 0.002269 0.002825 0.003550 0.004592 0.006102 0.008302 0.011944
2025-04-13 0.002163 0.002704 0.003411 0.004434 0.005928 0.008126 0.011807
2025-04-20 0.002127 0.002674 0.003397 0.004452 0.006014 0.008346 0.012333
2025-04-27 0.002128 0.002695 0.003451 0.004570 0.006251 0.008811 0.013300
2025-05-04 0.002070 0.002633 0.003388 0.004515 0.006224 0.008859 0.013553
2025-05-11 0.002029 0.002593 0.003356 0.004503 0.006262 0.009011 0.013997
2025-05-18 0.001984 0.002547 0.003312 0.004472 0.006268 0.009110 0.014352
2025-05-25 0.001966 0.002537 0.003321 0.004520 0.006400 0.009421 0.015115